As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. Well go position-by-position to answer that question, as it varies. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. He finished last year with 4,466 yards passing and 26 touchdowns at age 34. This is much different than the running back chart youll see tomorrow. By doing that, were making it a stronger study, though its important to note that if we included everyone, the numbers would strongly help the older wide receivers who stuck around in the league, but we wanted to make this an even playing field. He ran a 4.33 40 yard dash coming out of college and has kept that speed throughout his NFL career. The reality is that you cannot adjust this by any measure and suddenly find a bunch of super talented 29+ year old wide receivers who I managed to cherry pick out of this article. Here are the 25 best players regardless of the position they play who will be under 25 years old by Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season, using September 10 as the presumed cutoff date. Ingram has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls as he embarks on his age 31 season. Justin Johnson sorts through the wide receiver corps of the NFC East. Thats a lot of turnover and I guarantee that they will be on average, much younger than the 2021 list. All rights reserved. The 29-year-old found success with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. He is at the forefront of the talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his first year with Tampa Bay. Bosas 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders. Its easy to forget that wide receivers take time to develop after watching guys like A.J. Smith is one of the anchors of Minnesota's excellent defense, making his fifth consecutive Pro Bowl in 2019. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Godwin was another easy choice here. When you look at the company McLaurin is keeping when it comes to receiving grade as a rookie, its hard not to get excited about his prospects in 2020. Even then, you can likely get WR2 or WR3 production, as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else. Some fantasy owners want safety on their roster, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside. Those players do not exist like they did 20, 10, or even five years ago. You dont want to make a habit of letting multi-faceted, elite defenders like him walk. That number was just 376 over the remaining 14 games (second lowest). It gets really ugly after that, though, as just 4-of-68 wide receivers who played at age-33 and beyond have finished as a top-12 option. Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 years old. He is just another player on the list of recent Saints draft hits. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks. McCaffrey is the ideal modern NFL running back. Barring a dramatic turnaround in the next two months, Beckham should not be a priority free agent for the Rams or anyone else. To be clear, Im not telling you a wide receivers body doesnt start breaking down or fatiguing once he gets to a certain age (believe me, that starts before 28 years old), but it doesnt mean they cant produce more fantasy points per game with the experience theyve gained over the years. Matthew Slater is the oldest wide receiver this season. Johnson avoided having a crater year that tainted the memories we have of him and like James Dean, will always be remembered that way. This chart identifies when a player may lose some of that elite potential. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. *T.Y. Davante Adams, 29 Deebo Samuel, 25 Tyreek Hill, 27 Ja'Marr Chase, 21 Keenan Allen, 29 Stefon Diggs, 28 Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, that's eight solid receivers that virtually everyone. Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images. It is also why a general manager drafts Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Jacob Harris, and Ben Skowronek in a two-year span, likely followed by more receiver picks in 2022 and 2023. Cooper Kupp is the best wide receiver in the NFL this year. Superflex Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings (2023 Fantasy Football), Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (March 2023 Update), Video: Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (2023), NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Cousins is a strong second-tier quarterback in the NFL, and his play has improved since moving from Washington to Minnesota. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. Down from 26-percent only a couple of years earlier. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full win above replacement. We saw Browns after-the-catch ability in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL level. He surpassed 1,000 yards receiving in six of his first seven seasons. Over eight seasons with the Chargers, Ingram has 49 sacks, including 24.5 sacks over the last three years. For 225 PPR fantasy points per year (roughly top-24 production), the average age was 27 with 80% of peak seasons falling within the age range of 23-30. He raised his grade from 79.4 as a rookie to 91.2 this past season, and his 88.8 grade over the last two seasons combined is higher than any other interior offensive lineman in the league over that span. For truly elite (250+ PPR points) production, 68% of elite seasons are from players between the ages of 23-26, and 87% take place prior to a player turning 29. Blame it on injuries if you want to, the fact is that one OBJ case would be an exception; when there isnt a single 30+ OBJ in the league, it means that the rule says: You cant be a wide receiver over 30 anymore. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL . He recorded 19 sacks last year. Dunlap has been one of the more overlooked defensive linemen in the league for much of his 10-year career in Cincy. Not the 1,500-yard player that some of his peers were, Baldwin no less was setup for long-term success like a Derrick Mason would be in the decades before him. If there's one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old . Jefferson is now a 23-year-old with 196 catches, 3,016 yards, and 17 touchdowns in his career. At age 27, Calvin Johnson caught 122 passes for 1,964 yards, setting the single-season record that Cooper Kupp is looking to break in the next couple of weeks. From a talent standpoint, the NFL is in a good place. Wide receivers dont decline after 28 years old from a fantasy perspective. Green (33), and Emmanuel Sanders (34). Odds & lines subject to change. He led the league in passing during 2018 and is in his age 38 season. See our ethics statement. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Wants to chat with Jack Doyle first, as well. Fine. Wide Rest of Season Strength of Schedules, Wide Receiver Fantasy Points Scored Slot vs. It gets pretty ugly after the age-32 season, though, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as top-12 receivers. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Sherman reestablished himself as an elite cornerback for the 49ers last year, making his fifth career Pro Bowl. The New York Giants have told wide receiver Kenny Golladay he will be released after two horrible seasons. His one-handed catch against the Cowboys was arguably one of the top-five plays of the decade and even if he didnt invent the technique, he popularized outstanding grabs and suddenly the magic of the position grew by leaps and bounds in the seasons since. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. His grade may have trended in the wrong direction in 2018 and 2019 after an impressive rookie campaign where he notched 18 combined pass breakups and interceptions, but at worst, Lattimore has been a solid starter in the Saints secondary. Maybe they went RB-heavy in the first few rounds and want to choose some high-floor options at wide receiver. The years sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver position only. There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy owners life cycle that force him to question everything hes heard. This is roughly 6% higher than the average of 19.7% who are in their late 20s. He's been an All-Pro in three consecutive seasons and has three Pro Bowls to his name over nine seasons in Philadelphia. Wagner has been one of the constants on Seattle's defense since 2012 and has been an All-Pro in five of the last six seasons. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. That is just 7-percent of all 1,000-yard receivers in that two-year span. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. If this chart wont convince you, nothing will. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. This was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes. Dallas is the top unit because of its top three wide receivers. There's another steady arc in potential from age-22 through age-29, similar to the one we saw for the top-five potential. His 2.89 receiving yards per route run trailed only George Kittle at the tight end position in 2019, and he was one of three qualifying tight ends to put up an average depth of target of 11 yards or more, joining Jared Cook and Mike Gesicki. Probably by a lot. Interestingly, he did it at a high level in both the slot (63% of his routes in 2019) and out wide. All three players can beat you deep, take a. Some will say that its skewed results due to the players who are still playing at that age are likely top-notch, but you mustnt forget that we removed all players with less than 50 targets from every age. . In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. To be clear, Im not telling you a wide receivers body doesnt start breaking down or fatiguing once he gets to a certain age (believe me, that starts before 28 years old), but it doesnt mean they cant produce more fantasy points per game with the experience theyve gained over the years. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com He has been the most valuable player at the position since stepping foot on an NFL field in 2017, and he has developed into one of the more dangerous threats in the league as both a runner and as a receiver out of the backfield. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. And these are the good wide receivers. That could certainly be part of it, but the truth is, there were other contributing factors from injury to brutal quarterback play on the least efficient offense in the NFL. Garrett was on his way to a career year as a pass-rusher before his suspension last season. OBJ could once lay claim to being the most famous player in the entire National Football League, but even before he turned 29 he appeared to be a shadow of his former self. The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. 29: 505: 17.4: 36.1: 2: 0: 0: 0.0: 0: Billy Van Heusen: 14: 15 . Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup and CeeDee Lamb may be the top trio in all of the NFL. Just last year, Alexanders 20 forced incompletions were second at the cornerback position behind Carlton Davis. Tight Ends. Adams has earned grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons at times even serving as the Jets best edge rusher. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. A season ago, Browns 8.9 yards after the catch per reception led all wide receivers regardless of experience, and that came despite a healthy 13.6-yard average depth of target. Finally, the drop off isnt as steep as we might have thought. Even at 29-years-old, he's still one of the best wide receivers in the league. And while much of what we do here at PFF heavily factors positional value, this list does not. Green, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Dez Bryant. Hutson Benton Ferrante Rucinski Dewell Kavanaugh Chipley Beals Jansante North Kutner Shaw Swiacki Fears Box Mote Nickel Taylor Hirsch Lavelli Mann Pihos Wilkins Soltau Hoffman. He also appeared in his third Super Bowl. Only five years ago, 26-percent of 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30 years old. Certain kinds of pick routes, in which receivers get in the way of DBs while the balls in the air, are illegal. You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. Allen Robinson will be 29 years old in August, and the wide receiver's list of starting quarterbacks he has played with are Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton and a. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. The Ravens have one of the most talented secondaries in the NFL, and Humphrey has been a big part of that group. Players who are getting close to that mark: Julio Jones (31) and T.Y. Johnson is one of the league's most athletic and dominant offensive linemen, with three consecutive Pro Bowl appearances. He's consistently been a winner, with a career 86-41-1 regular season record and two Super Bowl appearances in eight seasons. Hes been particularly adept pushing the ball down the field, with top-five marks in passing grade and yards per attempt (14.6) on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield over the last two years. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. Not only does he produce the jaw-dropping, highlight-reel plays, but he is just about as good as anyone in the league at hitting the easy throws and limiting mistakes. For those who suggest Julio Jones is worth just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I suggest you stop thinking that now. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders, and Julian Edelman. In August 2018, 29-year-old Julio Jones is the best receiver in the NFL. 5. Since his surprising retirement in 2016, teams have followed suit: If Megatron cant play at 31, maybe nobody can., Just by the tone of his voice, I knew that he was done.@nateburleson recalls the moment he knew that Calvin Johnson was going to retire *NSFW*(via @LefkoeShow) pic.twitter.com/9CiKpphou1.
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